The Logic of Chance, 3rd edition
An Essay on the Foundations and Provice of the Theory of Probability
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Language
English
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PREFACE TO FIRST EDITION.
PREFACE TO SECOND EDITION.
PREFACE TO THIRD EDITION.
TABLE OF CONTENTS.[*]
PART I.
PHYSICAL FOUNDATIONS OF THE SCIENCE OF PROBABILITY. Chh. I–V.
CHAPTER I.
THE SERIES OF PROBABILITY.
CHAPTER II.
ARRANGEMENT AND FORMATION OF THE SERIES. LAWS OF ERROR.
CHAPTER III.
ORIGIN OR PROCESS OF CAUSATION OF THE SERIES.
CHAPTER IV.
HOW TO DISCOVER AND PROVE THE SERIES.
CHAPTER V.
THE CONCEPTION OF RANDOMNESS.
PART II.
LOGICAL SUPERSTRUCTURE ON THE ABOVE PHYSICAL FOUNDATIONS. Chh. VI–XIV.
CHAPTER VI.
MEASUREMENT OF BELIEF.
CHAPTER VII.
THE RULES OF INFERENCE IN PROBABILITY.
CHAPTER VIII.
THE RULE OF SUCCESSION.
CHAPTER IX.
INDUCTION.
CHAPTER X.
CHANGE, CAUSATION AND DESIGN.
CHAPTER XI.
MATERIAL AND FORMAL LOGIC.
CHAPTER XII.
CONSEQUENCES OF THE DISTINCTIONS OF THE PREVIOUS CHAPTER.
CHAPTER XIII.
ON MODALITY.
CHAPTER XIV.
FALLACIES.
PART III.
VARIOUS APPLICATIONS OF THE THEORY OF PROBABILITY. Chh. XV–XIX.
CHAPTER XV.
INSURANCE AND GAMBLING.
CHAPTER XVI.
APPLICATION OF PROBABILITY TO TESTIMONY.
CHAPTER XVII.
CREDIBILITY OF EXTRAORDINARY STORIES.
CHAPTER XVIII.
ON THE NATURE AND USE OF AN AVERAGE, AND ON THE DIFFERENT KINDS OF AVERAGE.
CHAPTER XIX.
THE THEORY OF THE AVERAGE AS A MEANS OF APPROXIMATION TO THE TRUTH.
THE LOGIC OF CHANCE.
CHAPTER I.
ON CERTAIN KINDS OF GROUPS OR SERIES AS THE FOUNDATION OF PROBABILITY.
CHAPTER II.
FURTHER DISCUSSION UPON THE NATURE OF THE SERIES MENTIONED IN THE LAST CHAPTER.
CHAPTER III.
ON THE CAUSAL PROCESS BY WHICH THE GROUPS OR SERIES OF PROBABILITY ARE BROUGHT ABOUT.
CHAPTER IV.
ON THE MODES OF ESTABLISHING AND DETERMINING THE EXISTENCE AND NUMERICAL PROPORTIONS OF THE CHARACTERISTIC PROPERTIES OF OUR SERIES OR GROUPS.
CHAPTER V.
THE CONCEPTION RANDOMNESS AND ITS SCIENTIFIC TREATMENT.
CHAPTER VI.[*]
THE SUBJECTIVE SIDE OF PROBABILITY. MEASUREMENT OF BELIEF.
CHAPTER VII.
THE RULES OF INFERENCE IN PROBABILITY.
On Inverse Probability and the Rules required for it.
CHAPTER VIII.
THE RULE OF SUCCESSION.[*]
CHAPTER IX.
INDUCTION AND ITS CONNECTION WITH PROBABILITY.
CHAPTER X.
CHANCE AS OPPOSED TO CAUSATION AND DESIGN.
NOTE ON THE PROPORTIONS OF THE SEXES.
CHAPTER XI.
ON CERTAIN CONSEQUENCES OF THE OBJECTIVE TREATMENT OF A SCIENCE OF INFERENCE.[*]
CHAPTER XII.
CONSEQUENCES OF THE FOREGOING DISTINCTIONS.
CHAPTER XIII.
ON THE CONCEPTION AND TREATMENT OF MODALITY.
CHAPTER XIV.
FALLACIES.
CHAPTER XV.
INSURANCE AND GAMBLING.
CHAPTER XVI.
THE APPLICATION OF PROBABILITY TO TESTIMONY.
CHAPTER XVII.
ON THE CREDIBILITY OF EXTRAORDINARY STORIES.
CHAPTER XVIII.
THE NATURE AND USE OF AN AVERAGE, AND ON THE DIFFERENT KINDS OF AVERAGE.[*]
CHAPTER XIX.
THE THEORY OF THE AVERAGE AS A MEANS OF APPROXIMATION TO THE TRUTH.
INDEX.
Transcriber's Note
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