Checking Iran's Nuclear Ambitions
Free

Checking Iran's Nuclear Ambitions

By Henry D. Sokolski (editor)
Free
Book Description


The fear about what Iran might do with nuclear weapons is fed by the concern that Tehran has no clear reason to be pursuing nuclear weapons. The strategic rationale for Iran's nuclear program is by no means obvious. Unlike proliferators such as Israel or Pakistan, Iran faces no historic enemy who would welcome an opportunity to wipe the state off the face of the earth. Nevertheless, Iran's nuclear program poses a stark challenge to the international nonproliferation regime and raises stark shortcomings with global nonproliferation norms, namely the Treaty on the Nonproliferation of Nuclear Weapons. If the world community, led by Western countries, is unable to prevent Iranian proliferation, then it is unclear that there is much meaning to global nonproliferation norms. 

Table of Contents
  • Table of Contents
  • Preface
  • Introduction
  • 1. Checking Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions
    • Assumptions.
    • Competitive Strategies.
  • 2. “Legal” Paths to the Bomb
    • Introduction, Summary.
    • IAEA Reporting Violations.
    • Resisting IAEA Additional Protocol.
    • “Cover”?
    • Brief Background
    • Plutonium
    • Uranium Enrichment.
    • Weapons Signifi cance
    • Using LEU as Feed Material
    • Summary
    • Changing the System of Protection
    • Endnotes
  • 3. Internal Struggles
    • Overview.
    • Domestic Politics
    • Structure of the State.
    • Failure of Internal Reform.
    • Markers, Roadmaps.
    • Domestic Politics, US-Iran Relations
    • Conclusion.
  • 4. Prospects for Regime Change in Iran
    • Introduction.
    • Challenge and Opportunity.
    • Assumptions.
    • Public Opinion
    • History
    • Implications
    • What Needs to be Done.
    • Dissidents, National Coalition.
    • Iran Coordinator.
    • Islamic Bomb vs Iranian Bomb.
    • Clerics & Nuclear Bomb.
    • Nonclerics
    • Conclusion.
  • 5. Winning Iranian Hearts and Minds
    • Public Perceptions, Great Satan
    • Recommendations
    • Policy Constraints
    • Monitoring, Evaluating
    • Conclusion
    • Endnotes
  • 6. Strategic Cooperation since 1979
    • Phase 1: 1979-89.
    • Phase 2: 1989-96.
    • Phase 3: The Khatami Years.
    • Phase 4: Future Prospects
  • 7. Challenges of Preventive Military Action
    • Nuclear Program: Hard Target
    • Challenge of Prevention
    • Options
    • Retaliatory Capacity
    • Conclusions
    • Endnotes
  • About the Authors
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